Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.654628 0.814773 0.985920 1.180581 1.394134 1.619757 1.874688
2025-02-16 0.452511 0.675243 0.933862 1.247618 1.610451 2.010531 2.479187
2025-02-23 0.328937 0.573307 0.876418 1.261432 1.722263 2.243834 2.867688
2025-03-02 0.213017 0.453759 0.776955 1.208359 1.742909 2.363180 3.119437
2025-03-09 0.127818 0.351569 0.680785 1.143272 1.735671 2.438859 3.310771
2025-03-16 0.076213 0.282784 0.617249 1.109830 1.759088 2.544336 3.531191
2025-03-23 0.051281 0.251128 0.601223 1.135099 1.852962 2.732204 3.847017
2025-03-30 0.029808 0.215088 0.572354 1.138383 1.915501 2.879581 4.112798
2025-04-06 0.012745 0.174373 0.528646 1.115677 1.940507 2.978000 4.317565
2025-04-13 0.007459 0.164591 0.536032 1.166210 2.062044 3.196517 4.667936
2025-04-20 0.003837 0.155803 0.543542 1.216013 2.182118 3.413012 5.015880
2025-04-27 0.001945 0.152043 0.559617 1.278399 2.319148 3.651030 5.390446
2025-05-04 0.001123 0.155759 0.593422 1.373471 2.508437 3.964864 5.870322
2025-05-11 0.000131 0.147877 0.603475 1.432390 2.649722 4.219942 6.281172
2025-05-18 NaN 0.129885 0.589303 1.451165 2.733949 4.400778 6.599165
2025-05-25 NaN 0.094880 0.529784 1.392829 2.707685 4.437623 6.737339
2025-06-01 NaN 0.063684 0.467056 1.322829 2.660639 4.444416 6.835464
2025-06-08 NaN 0.044642 0.426953 1.286567 2.658695 4.507489 7.001618
2025-06-15 NaN 0.038437 0.423408 1.313930 2.749243 4.692429 7.321489
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029749 0.407492 1.317475 2.803846 4.829223 7.580161
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019372 0.377762 1.292914 2.815100 4.907263 7.763531
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018626 0.389756 1.347555 2.945761 5.145694 8.151746
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017845 0.401290 1.401329 3.075226 5.382711 8.538434